Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.673146 0.794478 0.926124 1.078931 1.250753 1.437325 1.654553
2025-07-06 0.477154 0.643532 0.842417 1.094431 1.401806 1.761017 2.208791
2025-07-13 0.348556 0.533655 0.775611 1.106783 1.539298 2.075694 2.780938
2025-07-20 0.263729 0.455179 0.726846 1.124777 1.675455 2.392459 3.376043
2025-07-27 0.201001 0.389853 0.679496 1.130788 1.787984 2.680111 3.948204
2025-08-03 0.147987 0.324186 0.616593 1.100516 1.840100 2.883489 4.415074
2025-08-10 0.114745 0.282034 0.580515 1.101636 1.931938 3.141976 4.966158
2025-08-17 0.084746 0.236365 0.528614 1.067767 1.963447 3.311113 5.395843
2025-08-24 0.066905 0.209547 0.504068 1.073840 2.054227 3.568724 5.961194
2025-08-31 0.051890 0.183706 0.475769 1.068128 2.122811 3.793680 6.486024
2025-09-07 0.043952 0.172489 0.474199 1.109557 2.271346 4.147909 7.217621
2025-09-14 0.036379 0.159358 0.465845 1.136313 2.395270 4.467905 7.908525
2025-09-21 0.027055 0.137267 0.434063 1.115177 2.436654 4.663223 8.425326
2025-09-28 0.021642 0.125162 0.423144 1.134887 2.553294 4.988346 9.161331
2025-10-05 0.017062 0.113443 0.410562 1.149270 2.660765 5.303311 9.894076
2025-10-12 0.013556 0.103748 0.400967 1.168540 2.778183 5.639920 10.673822
2025-10-19 0.010420 0.093300 0.386683 1.175057 2.870639 5.937015 11.399122
2025-10-26 0.007222 0.079300 0.358102 1.143999 2.885496 6.098223 11.904891
2025-11-02 0.005366 0.070818 0.343973 1.145214 2.964565 6.375278 12.612001
2025-11-09 0.003528 0.059574 0.317086 1.110325 2.965339 6.510206 13.082195
2025-11-16 0.002588 0.053684 0.306893 1.116598 3.052458 6.804840 13.832563
2025-11-23 0.001793 0.047369 0.292965 1.110713 3.112344 7.050814 14.505868
2025-11-30 0.001466 0.045603 0.296529 1.153424 3.281570 7.507607 15.558954